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Modelling the future
“He who foretells the future lies, even if he tells the truth.” (Chinese proverb) Hi! And thank you for your interest! I hope I manage to retain it. My name is Andrew. I have spent most of my working life as a consultant in the energy sector. I want to reflect on this life and…
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Taming the future
“The future is dark; the present is burdensome; only the past, dead and finished, bears contemplation.” Geoffrey Elton, historian “The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.” Daniel Kahneman, psychologist Hi! Thanks for your attention, I really hope I do it justice. Investment analysts try to model/predict…